Gameweek 38 is here – the final chance for Fantasy Premier League managers to push for a big green arrow or clinch mini-league glory.
To find the true differentials that can make a real impact, we’re focusing on player ownership within the top 100,000 managers.
These are the engaged FPL managers still chasing points, so targeting under-the-radar options in this group gives the best shot at meaningful gains.
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Data from the FPL Statistics tool shows that 55.8% of managers haven’t made a change in five gameweeks.
That’s a huge number of inactive squads—hopefully, these ‘dead’ teams are ranked below you. If not, picking the right differential in Gameweek 38 could be the key to overtaking them!
For this article, we’ve selected players owned by less than 10% of managers in the top 100k in Gameweek 37 using data from the Insight Live feature.
This rank tier is where many FPL managers aim to finish, and it also filters out the influence of inactive teams, giving us a clearer picture of who the true differentials are.
In the table below, you'll find our top differential targets for GW38. Each player is under 10% owned in the top 100k, has a favourable fixture, and is projected to deliver solid points using data from the Predicted Points & Stats tool.
Player Name | Price | Fixture | Top 100k Ownership | Points |
---|---|---|---|---|
Evanilson | £5.9m | LEI (H) | 5.5% | 5.2 |
Semenyo | £7.4m | LEI (H) | 3.3% | 4.9 |
Arrizabalaga | £4.6m | LEI (H) | 2.9% | 4.7 |
Huijsen | £4.5m | LEI (H) | 2.5% | 4.7 |
Kluivert | £5.9m | LEI (H) | 2.4% | 5.9 |
Haaland | £14.9m | FUL (A) | 5.7% | 5.3 |
Wan-Bissaka | £4.4m | IPS (A) | 7.9% | 3.8 |
Pope | £5.0m | EVE (H) | 7.8% | 4.1 |
Schär | £5.5m | EVE (H) | 1.5% | 4.0 |
Trossard | £6.7m | SOU (A) | 1.5% | 4.8 |
Martinelli | £6.5m | SOU (A) | 0.5% | 4.6 |
Ødegaard | £8.2m | SOU (A) | 0.2% | 4.8 |
Rice | £6.2m | SOU (A) | 0.1% | 4.3 |
White | £6.2m | SOU (A) | 0.1% | 4.7 |
Havertz | £7.7m | SOU (A) | 0.0% | 3.8 |
Calafiori | £5.8m | SOU (A) | 0.0% | 4.2 |
Welbeck | £5.5m | TOT (A) | 0.3% | 4.2 |
Mitoma | £6.3m | TOT (A) | 0.2% | 3.6 |
Minteh | £4.8m | TOT (A) | 0.1% | 3.5 |
The final gameweek is notoriously unpredictable. From surprise benchings to youth team debuts, line-ups can throw up all sorts of headaches. If you're planning a punt, keep an eye out for early team news from reliable sources—and be ready to act fast.
We recommend enabling push notifications for our Elite XI: Team Reveal managers, who boast 83 top 10k finishes between them. They’ll likely be making last-minute changes based on team leak information.
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