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FPL Gameweek 38: Top 3 Captaincy Picks

FPL Top Captains
Fantasy Football Fix 23 May 2025

Top 3 Captaincy Picks for Fantasy Premier League 2024/25 Gameweek 38

Welcome to our Fantasy Premier League (FPL) guide for Gameweek 38! Each gameweek, we'll highlight the top captaincy picks for your FPL team.

In this blog, the three best Captaincy options for Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 38 are discussed. Picks are in the below format:

  1. No.1 predicted by Fix. 
  2. Alternative high-ownership option. Over 20%.
  3. Differential option. Under 20%.

FPL Gameweek 38: The Best Captain Choices

Mohamed Salah (CRY) - Highest Projected Point Scorer

Salah is still chasing records this season, and his numbers are nothing short of phenomenal. The Egyptian leads all players for goals (28), shots in the box (110), shots on target (58), big chances (43), and expected goals (xG) with 26.07.

His creativity stats are just as impressive. The 32-year-old ranks first for FPL assists (18), big chances created (26), and expected assists (xA) with 14.98.

Liverpool have been the league’s most potent attacking force, scoring 83 goals — more than any other team. They also top the charts for total shots (616), big chances (141), and xG (86.54).

Their opponents, Crystal Palace, have conceded 48 goals (ninth-most). The Eagles rank 11th for shots conceded (461) and 13th for expected goals conceded (xGC) with 54.16.

Player Point Projections for Gameweek 38 Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 7.7 for Salah.

Ollie Watkins (mun) - Highly Projected Points Alternative

Despite sharing minutes with Duran for much of the season, Watkins remains the third-highest scoring FPL forward with 184 points, thanks to 16 goals and eight assists.

Only Haaland (95) has taken more shots in the box than Watkins (81). The England international also ranks third for big chances (33) and fourth for xG with 17.47.

As the below image from our Opta Player Heatmaps feature shows, he has averaged 4.5 FPL points per away game this season.

Points Per game for Watkins in away Matches

Villa have scored 58 goals this campaign (ninth), the Midlands side are ranked ninth for shots in the box (336) and sixth for 'big chances' (101).

Their hosts, Man United, have conceded 54 goals (12th), the Red Devils are ranked sixth for shots conceded (411) and 14th for xGC (56.89).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 4.7 for Watkins.

Bukayo Saka (sou) - The Differential

Saka has missed a large chunk of the campaign for Arsenal with injury and will be looking to end the season on a high. Despite just 1709 minutes of a possible 3,330, the England international is still the Gunners' fourth highest scoring FPL asset with 126 points (six goals, 11 assists).

As shown in the below image from our Opta Stats Sandbox, no Arsenal player has attempted more shots in the box than him (51) and he also leads the way for shots on target (23).

Stats for Midfielders Fantasy Premier League 2024/25

He is also top for FPL assists (11), 'big chances' created (22) and 'Expected Assists' (xA) (9.92) with only Ødegaard (63) attempting more assists than his 56.

Arsenal have scored 67 goals with only Newcastle (68) and Liverpool (83) being more prolific. The Gunners are ranked third for shots in the box (387) and sixth for xG (65.90).

Their hosts Southampton have conceded 84 goals, more than any other side in the division. The Saints are also bottom for shots in the box conceded (454) and xGC (94.48).

Our Predicted Points & Stats tool currently projects a score of 6.3 for Saka.


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