Gameweek 11 feels like a long time ago after the international break, but some of last Gameweek’s differential calls delivered big.
Thaigo, tipped as the best replacement for Gyökeres, went on to score a brace. Trossard delivered a goal and two bonus points against Sunderland. And Chris Richards rewarded managers with a clean sheet and DEFCON points versus Brighton.
With momentum behind these picks, and with fixtures turning for several key sides, Gameweek 12 offers another opportunity to get ahead of the pack.
Our strategy balances attacking potential with defensive coverage:
⚽ 3 attacking player – midfielders or forwards
🛡️ 2 defensive players – defenders or goalkeepers
This ensures coverage across the pitch while prioritising FPL points, essential for Gameweek success.
As discussed in our recent article Liverpool’s Fixtures Turn Green – But Are They a Trap for FPL Managers?, the Reds enter one of the best attacking fixture runs in the league — and Szoboszlai looks like one of the standout value picks in their midfield.
The Match Centre data highlights just how involved he’s been over the last five games. He ranks 4th for expected goals (0.9), joint-top for shots on target (4), joint-top for assists (1) and 3rd for attempted assists (8). He also averages 11.73 DEFCON actions per match, the highest of any Liverpool player, and boasts the highest baseline BPS per game (12.27) — showing he has multiple avenues to FPL points even when he doesn’t return.
Liverpool sit top of the Fixture Planner for attacking difficulty between now and Gameweek 16, making this feel like the ideal moment to back their assets. Their recent dip in form will put some managers off, but that only strengthens Szoboszlai’s appeal as a differential.
The only real caveat: he’s on four yellow cards, meaning just one more would trigger a suspension.
United’s fixture swing makes Amad one of the most appealing differentials heading into GW12.
Green all over the fixture list ✅
— Fantasy Football Fix (@FantasyFootyFix) November 12, 2025
Which Man United picks are you targeting? 👀 pic.twitter.com/FukihCmJQQ
The Red Devils don’t face a single member of the current top five in the next 10 Gameweeks, giving their attackers a long runway of opportunities to return points.
Creatively, Amad has been excellent this season. As shown in the Opta Stats Sandbox, no Manchester United player has more FPL assists (3) or created more big chances (3) than him.
He also carries a degree of goal threat: he has scored once so far, but his 1.99 xG and three big chances suggest he could easily have had more.
When comparing his per-90 metrics to Bruno Fernandes in the Opta Heatmaps feature, Amad stacks up remarkably well — especially considering he is £2.6m cheaper. Remove Fernandes’ penalties, and his non-penalty xG per 90 drops to 0.22, which is actually lower than Amad’s output.
If you’re looking for a low-owned, budget-friendly route into the United attack, Amad looks more than worth serious consideration.
Garnacho looks to be settling well at Chelsea. After playing just 11 minutes across the first six Gameweeks, he has now featured heavily in each of the last five — and the numbers show real progress.
According to the Match Centre, despite only completing 90 minutes in the most recent of those matches, he has still scored once (bettered only by João Pedro and James with two), ranks 5th for xG (1.2), 4th for shots on target (4) and is joint-top for FPL assists (2) over that period.
He now faces a Burnley side who have conceded 22 goals and have the highest expected goals conceded (25.38) in the league. It’s a prime opportunity for the Argentinian to add to his growing attacking output.
With managers moving away from the injured Gabriel, De Ligt is a differential who isn’t getting nearly enough attention.
He ranks top among Manchester United defenders for DEFCON (96) and baseline BPS (55), meaning that whenever United keep a clean sheet, he has a strong chance of delivering a haul.
As mentioned earlier, United now embark on a very favourable run of fixtures, sitting second only to Liverpool for defensive difficulty in the Fixture Planner over the next five Gameweeks. That gives them plenty of opportunities to secure clean sheets.
De Ligt is nailed, offers set-piece threat, and benefits from a brilliant fixture run. His DEFCON and bonus numbers show how consistently he is involved defensively, making him a standout £5.0m pick.
Richards is becoming a regular in the differential conversation — and he continues to justify it. His clean sheet and DEFCON haul against Brighton in GW11 reinforced his reliability, and at just £4.5m, he remains one of the best-value defenders in the game.
The Opta Stats Sandbox shows why: Crystal Palace have conceded the third-fewest goals (9) and kept the joint-second most clean sheets (5) in the league. Richards himself ranks third among all defenders for DEFCON (118), giving him a consistent route to points even when Palace don’t keep a clean sheet.
He now faces a Wolves side who, under new manager Rob Edwards, will hope to improve on their seven goals in 11 matches — the lowest in the league. It’s another strong fixture that enhances Richards’ appeal as a budget-friendly differential.
Gameweek 12 is a great opportunity to steer away from the template, especially with multiple key assets flagged.
How many do you own? 👀 pic.twitter.com/s6jPzdBbxd
— Fantasy Football Fix (@FantasyFootyFix) November 18, 2025
Szoboszlai brings strong all-round threat, Amad and Garnacho offer form and fixtures, and De Ligt and Richards present excellent defensive routes at affordable prices.
If you’re hunting for green arrows, these low-owned options could be the perfect edge.
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